Analysts warn that there is a risk of further mistrust in U.S.-China relations due to Taiwan’s general election

Shao Yuqun, director of the Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macau Research Institute at the Shanghai Institute of International Studies, said this month’s presidential and legislative elections could be one of the five biggest challenges facing the two countries in stabilizing bilateral relations. He said there is.

Mr. Lei was leading the other two candidates in a poll published before a ban on the publication of poll results took effect on Wednesday.

However, the US government views mainland China’s response as Beijing’s attempt to “coerce Taiwan’s democratically elected leaders” and has called on the White House to take a tougher stance. , could increase support for Taiwan in Congress.

“China and the US are thus stuck in a cycle of ‘action and reaction’, with each side potentially misinterpreting each other’s policy signals and making wrong decisions,” he said.

Meanwhile, other factors are also weighing on relations between the two superpowers, including rising tensions between China and the Philippines over a long-running dispute in the South China Sea.

Who is running in Taiwan’s presidential election and what does it mean for Beijing?

Manila has also condemned Beijing’s coercive actions following a series of clashes, including the use of water cannons against Philippine vessels resupplying troops stationed on the disputed reef.

But Beijing accused the United States of encouraging the Manila conflict and urged the Philippines to “act with caution” and not “collude with outside forces.”

Citing the Russia-Ukraine war and the Israel-Gaza war, Xiao said the US was trying to portray China as a “challenger or disruptor of the global and regional order.”

“This will jeopardize strategic mutual trust, which is already in the red,” she warned.

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Taiwan general election exposes generational rift over possibility of unification with mainland China

Taiwan general election exposes generational rift over possibility of unification with mainland China

Hsiao also claimed that relations between the two countries would be strained due to the US presidential election in November.

Citing a recent court decision to ban voting in Colorado because of Donald Trump’s role in attempts to overturn the 2020 election results, he said “election chaos” undermines confidence in the U.S. system. He said it would increase the support of the U.S. strategic community. Anxiety over “systemic challenges” from China.

The Chinese government considers Taiwan to be part of China and must reunite it with the mainland by force if necessary. Like most countries, Washington does not formally recognize Taiwan as an independent state, but it opposes changing the status quo on both sides of the Strait by force and has a legal obligation to help Taiwan defend itself.

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